TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c13,165$7,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,917.174,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over39c7,999$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.614922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4753345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,802$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.4169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over39c2,477$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.6190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over29c1,692$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4974344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over65c1,600$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65022859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over1c1,148$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Over72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c966.99$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8311049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594f…392cbacked Under37c924.58$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under58c901.63$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.6630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c3…17a7backed Over62c811$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under29c796.81$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7338729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c730.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.653,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over27c729.91$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.621,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over71c617$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4389923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under27c399.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over10c271.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.122810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over74c269.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.744961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over58c259.57$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over27c230.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+895.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c220$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.412553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over70c200.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over70c189$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.34850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under30c176$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.23145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under27c149.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under28c129.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under30c108.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over44c102.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over53c101.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5426242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…202dbacked Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Over71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over70c71.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c70.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa01…349cbacked Over48c58.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over66c57.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over70c56.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under75c53.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f5…544fbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302552%13 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1293…9587backed Over71c49.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under29c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over33c45.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under30c43.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e56…1b8bbacked Over52c38.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under57c37.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.915051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255149%25 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2124…d01abacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…7975backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over72c33.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under43c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.768241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…a3dbbacked Over58c25.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over64c24.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c4…2772backed Over69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a3…0740backed Under75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562c…e035backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d44…80d4backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103060%18 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over71c14.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.085650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.