La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e44d35a0dcb3b6220f2949fcb8180dbc56efa7e3dad24be056c39a50a13fc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc380…d34abacked Yes | 51c | 294.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 244.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 46c | 168.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 132.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 54c | 100.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 45.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…17aebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 29.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.