F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa82b0c107e0adb35bcd7727c1e92c07c0c3baf05c248ccadad8e95fb77078274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,455$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.94 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 26c | 1,627$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 32c | 1,582$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.57 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 46c | 1,457$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.09 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed No | 40c | 1,287$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,244$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,048$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 37c | 999.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 20c | 684$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…c3ebbacked Yes | 65c | 613.9$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 38c | 605.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 36c | 595.74$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked No | 32c | 556.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 66c | 499.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 67c | 481.23$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 74c | 407.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 32c | 362.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf008…81a6backed No | 29c | 348.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 73c | 335.23$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 70c | 329.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 34c | 328.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 44c | 225.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked No | 38c | 220.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…cdb5backed Yes | 67c | 218$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 20c | 216.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 45c | 205.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed No | 56c | 153.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 53c | 153.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed No | 46c | 147$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…d644backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 41c | 112.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…7fd7backed No | 47c | 111.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 19c | 97.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed No | 43c | 90.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed No | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 70.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 66c | 63.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…ef39backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fc0fbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 62c | 49.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…d39bbacked Yes | 73c | 45.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed No | 31c | 45.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 56c | 44.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 48c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8b93backed No | 42c | 36.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 33c | 35.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…7c76backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 68c | 31.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…044bbacked Yes | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…485cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.