F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c71d9623d14a6a76d20963ffec0b1ebd7bf199e84261eabdde1ace9544fc443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 49c | 4,002$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.05 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 58c | 2,840$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,640$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.29 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 33c | 1,592$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,156$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 33c | 811.29$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 59c | 774.19$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.87 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 13c | 720.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 71c | 701.38$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 11c | 542.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 6c | 514.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…438dbacked Yes | 14c | 500.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 60c | 450.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…f41bbacked Yes | 36c | 417.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed Yes | 9c | 342.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 299.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 266.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 15c | 265$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes | 20c | 260.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 11c | 258.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 246.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 14c | 241.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 9c | 209.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 22c | 208.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 16c | 192.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 15c | 137.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…666ebacked Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…8f37backed No | 52c | 120.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 52c | 119.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 13c | 114.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…50acbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b380backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 23c | 96.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 18c | 83.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 58c | 69.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 31c | 52.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 60c | 38.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…a2a0backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 57c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.