F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb18d3d28e4773d0ba78f961c54085f50ec7faecb610582bc6105949d27bf408a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 44c | 1,660$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.24 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.04 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked No | 34c | 588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 34c | 552.12$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 60c | 552.05$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 54c | 482.23$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 64c | 465.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 450$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 54c | 447.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 37c | 317.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 42c | 283.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 64c | 277.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 66c | 212.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes | 55c | 210$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 56c | 206.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 77c | 202.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 36c | 197.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 6c | 189.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…ee3bbacked No | 25c | 140.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 53c | 137.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 122.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Yes | 47c | 117.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 26c | 99.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 32c | 73.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 59.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…832fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 47c | 38.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 40c | 35.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 50c | 34.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…ebf7backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…a2a0backed Yes | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed No | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.