F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7a615162ff4affcab93f82e4631fa3f92883c34407481abfd0e51b20d1c5f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 77c | 538$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 337.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked No | 35c | 320.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 40c | 220.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 68c | 203.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 37c | 174.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 37c | 168.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 60c | 165.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 68c | 155$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked No | 39c | 135.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 61c | 134.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 40c | 121.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…f958backed No | 42c | 119.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…f0e0backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed No | 32c | 79.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 55c | 76.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 36c | 67.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 57c | 66.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 43c | 56.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…d32ebacked No | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 63c | 52.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…7891backed No | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 34c | 39.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed No | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Yes | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.