MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9f322e9981a30a22b336aa9cb8148e7d497ed5d3152f61e815faff32de4821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $744,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 54c | 121,168$65,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,673.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 103,109$48,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,461.31 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees | 54c | 46,350$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,349.95 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 41,457$17,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,103.6 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…15e1backed New York Yankees | 73c | 27,331$19,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 27,195$12,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,781.49 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 22,795$9,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,971.67 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 22,222$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222.12 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 73c | 20,269$14,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 55c | 13,303$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.28 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 52c | 12,554$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 52c | 10,811$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.92 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed New York Yankees | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 53c | 9,445$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 53c | 9,407$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.24 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 8,989$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.23 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 7,739$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 53c | 6,915$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.81 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 6,700$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 53c | 6,141$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 5,310$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.65 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 4,754$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.21 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 4,686$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.2 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 4,234$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.86 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,800$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 3,700$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,450$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,141$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.37 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,076$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.79 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,040$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,021$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 2,917$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked New York Yankees | 47c | 2,729$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.58 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,689$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.27 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…c455backed New York Yankees | 73c | 2,652$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,322$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.34 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,249$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.23 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,236$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,172$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.17 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,148$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,110$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 2,010$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.62 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,976$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.75 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 1,871$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.85 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed New York Yankees | 75c | 1,787$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,733$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.57 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,700$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.02 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,623$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.26 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 1,601$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,558$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,452$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.42 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.98 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked New York Yankees | 76c | 1,351$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,336$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,333$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.82 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,300$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,274$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.02 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,268$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.44 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,252$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.68 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 73c | 1,240$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,185$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,096$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…c68abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.42 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 903.79$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 899.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 859.6$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.63 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 852$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 837.44$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 833.64$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.47 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees | 55c | 804.29$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed New York Yankees | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…e05ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…c1ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 750$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.3 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 749.52$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 704.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed New York Yankees | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 679.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 661.21$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed New York Yankees | 54c | 643.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed New York Yankees | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 624.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 617.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed New York Yankees | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.