TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees43c23,304$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians53c19,787$10,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,398.644,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland Guardians57c15,584$8,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,701.231,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees47c13,969$6,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,626.28,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians55c11,800$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,311.8911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees43c4,147$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.741,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees36c3,978$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.638,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians58c3,585$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.565,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees42c3,474$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians58c2,532$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.052,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Cleveland Guardians59c2,007$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.6811848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed New York Yankees50c1,508$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.2414858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed New York Yankees41c1,232$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1223948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed New York Yankees41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees60c778.16$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.96,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees36c757.42$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians62c746.25$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians57c699.95$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.986,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians58c670$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees60c660.15$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.091,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Yankees60c549.83$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.997050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Cleveland Guardians74c474.31$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.316768.7%46 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians58c469.66$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.261,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians58c460.08$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.238,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New York Yankees42c397.09$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7812940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Cleveland Guardians58c350.67$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2821550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians56c338.08$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.863,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed New York Yankees60c329.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.832450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees60c328.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.962,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees42c300.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.281,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians62c289.21$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked New York Yankees43c285.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9272655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees35c263$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.764,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians58c230$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees40c219.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9919335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Cleveland Guardians59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8214643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed New York Yankees60c183.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11079255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees60c183.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.981,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed New York Yankees40c160.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2417752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Cleveland Guardians58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians40c145.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.15,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed New York Yankees36c144.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1621055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees42c125.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.14,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed New York Yankees41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees57c114.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6559549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees42c112$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3546854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Cleveland Guardians58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed New York Yankees61c91.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.527949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians73c78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.065,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed New York Yankees50c70.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.913357.9%77 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Yankees40c55.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked New York Yankees42c54.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked New York Yankees40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked New York Yankees61c44.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9425357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Cleveland Guardians59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3785949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked New York Yankees41c40.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4637551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed New York Yankees37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.628943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked New York Yankees65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Yankees60c39.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked New York Yankees60c38.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4566056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed New York Yankees61c36.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.297152.1%37 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed New York Yankees40c36.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5944651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Cleveland Guardians58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4825448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Cleveland Guardians60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Yankees36c32.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.812,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed New York Yankees60c32.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…7695backed New York Yankees43c29.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb6…64d2backed Cleveland Guardians58c28.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.254845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9d…77debacked Cleveland Guardians59c27.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d14…6498backed New York Yankees41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.321822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked New York Yankees41c24.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Cleveland Guardians60c24.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7644347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Cleveland Guardians59c22.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians58c20.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.621,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Cleveland Guardians64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Cleveland Guardians58c19.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9813252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians58c17.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed New York Yankees60c17.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3751555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.