MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c400dcae678ccb0c3d2416f4affb4f7cdd4de85ede8230d24808fa9f5da6e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 26,823$14,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,254.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 25,670$12,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,348.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 19,552$10,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,167.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 11,050$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.59 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 9,939$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 8,731$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.47 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.94 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 5,058$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Under | 48c | 3,709$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 3,548$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 2,540$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.8 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 1,855$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.22 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 1,703$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.43 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 1,528$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.05 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 1,412$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.25 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 1,214$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.28 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 52c | 1,078$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.73 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 769.12$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 692.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.86 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 579$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 579$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 512.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 433$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 414$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 367$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 48c | 366.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 276.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 48c | 256.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 249.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 41c | 246.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 226.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 219.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 52c | 203.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 203$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 52c | 200.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…c242backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Under | 48c | 177.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Over | 52c | 166.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 53c | 150.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 147.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 144.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…6021backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 48c | 112.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 106.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 106.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Under | 48c | 95.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 93.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 48c | 69.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 54.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 48c | 51.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 48c | 46.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 50c | 44.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 43.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed Under | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 47c | 40.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 36.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Under | 49c | 36.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 33.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 28.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Under | 48c | 25.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…88cabacked Under | 48c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.