Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447a77ff31430eeb2a3e1b60cc6c8703c062d3d997816582fa598614701a18b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Boltof Mattia Bellucci, Alex Bolt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Mattia Bellucci | 28c | 5,666$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Bolt | 67c | 5,441$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.99 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 4,868$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.83 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 4,570$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.75 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Bolt | 80c | 3,689$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.41 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Bolt | 73c | 2,937$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.79 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 2,308$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.55 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 2,189$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 2,134$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.15 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.74 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Bolt | 46c | 1,498$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.92 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Mattia Bellucci | 27c | 1,180$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 1,150$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Mattia Bellucci | 60c | 1,141$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Mattia Bellucci | 5c | 1,080$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 1,069$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.07 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.06 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…c974backed Mattia Bellucci | 23c | 999.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Mattia Bellucci | 46c | 927$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.38 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Alex Bolt | 42c | 767.54$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Mattia Bellucci | 14c | 720.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 27c | 717.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Alex Bolt | 41c | 541.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alex Bolt | 69c | 526.75$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 508.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 377 | 44.8%169 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Bolt | 62c | 476.63$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alex Bolt | 76c | 443.41$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 416$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 395.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 366.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 344.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Alex Bolt | 48c | 336.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 260$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Alex Bolt | 44c | 254.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Mattia Bellucci | 7c | 249.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Alex Bolt | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mattia Bellucci | 25c | 223.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Alex Bolt | 39c | 204.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,141 | 47.2%539 W · 602 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Alex Bolt | 69c | 163.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 155.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Mattia Bellucci | 25c | 153.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 894 | 35.9%321 W · 573 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 148.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mattia Bellucci | 21c | 147.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Alex Bolt | 33c | 143.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 129.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Mattia Bellucci | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…b363backed Alex Bolt | 40c | 124.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Mattia Bellucci | 68c | 114.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 112.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Mattia Bellucci | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alex Bolt | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 89.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Bolt | 39c | 88.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…abf1backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 85.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 84.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Alex Bolt | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 964 | 44.2%426 W · 538 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mattia Bellucci | 27c | 81.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 23c | 78.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 891 | 64.3%573 W · 318 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 75.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Alex Bolt | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 68.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…ffe5backed Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 65.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…e9bdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 60.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mattia Bellucci | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Bolt | 38c | 56.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 53.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Mattia Bellucci | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 50.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 49.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mattia Bellucci | 57c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Alex Bolt | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 39.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…7abebacked Alex Bolt | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alex Bolt | 69c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Bolt | 35c | 36.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…de73backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 31.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltthis page
- Bellucci vs. Bolt: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.