TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5626…ffe5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.82
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.28
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97%+$32.95
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$67.16
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.93
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keysbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$52.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Oeiras 4: Colton Smith vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Saint-Malo: Bianca Andreescu vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 9z Team vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.47
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+314%+$59.22
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.69
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.99
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$53.29
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffsbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.77
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$32.33
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Counter-Strike: Incognito vs InControl (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Group Bbacked Incognito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.09
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+133%+$32.12
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.71
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.