CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047e7f92cfad4138a107a7b5585dba2e04079b25cedc506a3b726bd48151bbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof regain, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wanted Goons | 12c | 506$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wanted Goons | 7c | 261.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wanted Goons | 14c | 235.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wanted Goons | 31c | 216.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Wanted Goons | 11c | 206.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Wanted Goons | 22c | 204.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…ce71backed Wanted Goons | 6c | 197.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +410.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked regain | 69c | 169.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked regain | 67c | 161.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked regain | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed regain | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wanted Goons | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…ffe5backed Wanted Goons | 19c | 116.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Wanted Goons | 29c | 105.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Wanted Goons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked regain | 67c | 99.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Wanted Goons | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed regain | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Wanted Goons | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed regain | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wanted Goons | 39c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Wanted Goons | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Wanted Goons | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed regain | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winnerregain won
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winnerregain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.