CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7200028265b1b84013536bc75facb1d5d981bd0b1f71a479857f74fb357d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof regain, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wanted Goons | 45c | 1,316$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed regain | 60c | 700$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed regain | 58c | 359.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 341.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Wanted Goons | 34c | 292.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked regain | 52c | 219.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed regain | 57c | 217.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wanted Goons | 32c | 187.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed regain | 60c | 172.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed regain | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wanted Goons | 38c | 121.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked regain | 63c | 118.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed regain | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked regain | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Wanted Goons | 40c | 51.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed regain | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked regain | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked regain | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked regain | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsregain won
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winnerregain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.