CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f47f96e971e0e90790cb6e0079c74df13abdd2098f25ebf2cc052d0d695a48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof regain, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed regain | 78c | 1,381$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked regain | 70c | 1,282$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked regain | 73c | 1,215$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed regain | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wanted Goons | 17c | 829$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wanted Goons | 45c | 783$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wanted Goons | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Wanted Goons | 33c | 600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Wanted Goons | 44c | 334.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed regain | 66c | 304.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Wanted Goons | 21c | 280$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wanted Goons | 44c | 243.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Wanted Goons | 30c | 185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Wanted Goons | 7c | 151$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Wanted Goons | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked regain | 73c | 138.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wanted Goons | 12c | 122.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Wanted Goons | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Wanted Goons | 25c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Wanted Goons | 46c | 74.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wanted Goons | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Wanted Goons | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed regain | 67c | 40.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Wanted Goons | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsregain won
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winnerregain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.