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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Antonia Ruzic, Madison Keys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Antonia Ruzic15c18,344$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.65030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Antonia Ruzic3c8,396$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.481,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Antonia Ruzic7c8,078$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3812814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Antonia Ruzic10c6,897$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.289,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Antonia Ruzic2c6,505$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Antonia Ruzic2c6,505$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Antonia Ruzic17c6,300$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.4745036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f4…07a1backed Antonia Ruzic21c3,631$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.06922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Antonia Ruzic2c2,793$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.432732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Antonia Ruzic14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28057842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Antonia Ruzic23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Antonia Ruzic16c1,918$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004916.3%8 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Antonia Ruzic12c1,550$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4922821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Antonia Ruzic20c1,504$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7929443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Antonia Ruzic13c1,417$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18471725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Antonia Ruzic16c1,350$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517443.7%76 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Antonia Ruzic13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Antonia Ruzic15c1,051$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.681,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Antonia Ruzic15c1,026$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9242839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Antonia Ruzic15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44928.4%412 W · 1,037 L+2.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Antonia Ruzic19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19047250.4%238 W · 234 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Antonia Ruzic13c999.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Antonia Ruzic12c983.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.436,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Antonia Ruzic8c900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726025%15 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Antonia Ruzic8c855.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Antonia Ruzic8c680.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.465,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Antonia Ruzic3c670.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Antonia Ruzic20c595$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11916018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Antonia Ruzic13c593.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.995,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Antonia Ruzic19c528.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995735.1%20 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Antonia Ruzic27c471.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Antonia Ruzic4c469.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.066619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Antonia Ruzic21c461.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.922,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88e…a8c6backed Antonia Ruzic16c440.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Antonia Ruzic14c417.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Antonia Ruzic25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03250.1%517 W · 515 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Antonia Ruzic11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4468338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Antonia Ruzic17c383.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2691350.2%458 W · 455 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Antonia Ruzic15c373.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0815734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Antonia Ruzic9c354.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Antonia Ruzic17c349.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.522,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Antonia Ruzic20c345$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018b…5372backed Antonia Ruzic15c336.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506761.2%41 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a48…7bbebacked Antonia Ruzic22c322.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Antonia Ruzic11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Madison Keys79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1623159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Antonia Ruzic16c246.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6540554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed Antonia Ruzic23c228.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Antonia Ruzic22c211.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Antonia Ruzic18c207.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.761,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78a…fae0backed Antonia Ruzic14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Antonia Ruzic13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Antonia Ruzic10c181.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1116454.3%89 W · 75 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Antonia Ruzic18c177.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.771,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85b…a90dbacked Madison Keys78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.85666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Antonia Ruzic13c150.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Antonia Ruzic13c139$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.073,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5626…ffe5backed Antonia Ruzic23c133.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.563836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Antonia Ruzic16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Antonia Ruzic15c122.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3942141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Antonia Ruzic13c121.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Antonia Ruzic12c118.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Antonia Ruzic15c109.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4731841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Antonia Ruzic14c102.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.418315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Antonia Ruzic14c102.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Antonia Ruzic20c102.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013240.9%54 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Madison Keys79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2170752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Antonia Ruzic14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Madison Keys80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Antonia Ruzic14c99.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Antonia Ruzic19c96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7834847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Madison Keys78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741,05648.3%510 W · 546 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Madison Keys78c89.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Antonia Ruzic12c82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0428237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Antonia Ruzic15c81.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124652.2%24 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Antonia Ruzic15c80.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Antonia Ruzic15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Antonia Ruzic15c73.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…83a2backed Antonia Ruzic28c72.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Antonia Ruzic18c68.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.074,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Antonia Ruzic15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Antonia Ruzic24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Antonia Ruzic28c49.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8911215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed Antonia Ruzic25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e58…5bf4backed Madison Keys78c39.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.562673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Madison Keys78c38.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4438860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Madison Keys79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2526563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed Madison Keys79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21450%7 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf58…7258backed Madison Keys79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b48…1d04backed Madison Keys78c19.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.215060%30 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.