Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa44273afcaf57c751fdba3e945a676b3bdc7553b78ab42331207dd3c31dab3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 15,205$7,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595.7 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FlyQuest | 38c | 13,002$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.35 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 8,638$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.04 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 7,097$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.17 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 53c | 6,767$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.65 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked FlyQuest | 50c | 3,095$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.14 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed FlyQuest | 50c | 3,046$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 2,836$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.37 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FlyQuest | 38c | 2,634$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 2,534$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.41 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 2,061$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.11 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest | 31c | 1,661$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.68 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 1,558$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.61 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed FlyQuest | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest | 31c | 1,043$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FlyQuest | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed FlyQuest | 45c | 940.59$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 909.17$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.59 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 42c | 866.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.32 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 854.04$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.48 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed FlyQuest | 27c | 767.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 34c | 621.88$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…2035backed FlyQuest | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 583.67$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 540$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed FlyQuest | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…089fbacked FlyQuest | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 467.28$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…cc0fbacked FlyQuest | 52c | 463.47$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…c7cebacked FlyQuest | 55c | 402.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked FlyQuest | 37c | 398$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed FlyQuest | 50c | 389$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest | 44c | 365.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FlyQuest | 50c | 307.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FlyQuest | 46c | 301.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed FlyQuest | 46c | 254.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 250.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed FlyQuest | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 232$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked FlyQuest | 50c | 220.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 219.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed FlyQuest | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 187.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…5685backed FlyQuest | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FlyQuest | 54c | 161.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…b09abacked FlyQuest | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 142.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FlyQuest | 36c | 134.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 129.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 32c | 129$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…4cf5backed FlyQuest | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked FlyQuest | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed FlyQuest | 55c | 99.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 89.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed FlyQuest | 46c | 85.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FlyQuest | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed FlyQuest | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest | 49c | 79.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FlyQuest | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 77.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 72.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…7e91backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 36c | 70.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 68.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FlyQuest | 39c | 64.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 62.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…ffe5backed FlyQuest | 43c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 54.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed FlyQuest | 52c | 53.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 52.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FlyQuest | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…14eabacked FlyQuest | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked FlyQuest | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed FlyQuest | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…086bbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed FlyQuest | 49c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed FlyQuest | 35c | 31.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed FlyQuest | 63c | 31.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…bd77backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 30.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.