TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keydof Keyd, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd27c8,291$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.085,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Fluxo W7M75c4,369$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.0414051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Fluxo W7M69c3,527$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.255735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Keyd25c2,789$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.425759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Keyd18c1,826$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.7416920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fluxo W7M71c1,797$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.8784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Fluxo W7M5c1,666$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Keyd55c1,517$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.031,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Keyd27c1,234$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.4625934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fluxo W7M74c1,141$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Keyd38c1,071$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.011,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd25c1,025$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.431,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Keyd47c986.74$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M44c939.44$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.374,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Fluxo W7M31c838.04$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0327548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Keyd32c785.73$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.38548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Fluxo W7M23c785.35$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6317849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo W7M40c772.9$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.331,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd32c749.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.581,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Keyd39c723.96$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9978043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Keyd25c706.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Fluxo W7M75c629.09$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8211646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Keyd25c619.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6912045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo W7M70c612.51$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.872,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked Fluxo W7M75c577.75$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.13243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd66c569.59$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.213,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Keyd23c568.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9448319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Fluxo W7M74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Fluxo W7M19c498.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M27c486.12$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.592,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Fluxo W7M74c484.92$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.847040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Keyd26c473.9$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8633044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Keyd61c461.73$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6322534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Keyd30c456.01$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.48748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Fluxo W7M73c450.29$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf15…2aa9backed Fluxo W7M76c448.43$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.515253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Keyd53c384.67$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2740141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M50c368.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.646,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1d…77b1backed Keyd25c361.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd46c324$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.92,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Keyd30c320.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Keyd55c300.09$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.51,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M34c299.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Keyd24c297.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.15650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f4…f44ebacked Fluxo W7M75c280.05$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Fluxo W7M72c278.58$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5817055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Keyd15c269.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.21102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…27fbbacked Keyd65c266.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.092128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Keyd42c262.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8418933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb73…c4d9backed Keyd20c253.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.49633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd36c250.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.525,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd50c247.66$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.073,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Fluxo W7M75c221.95$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.471050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M16c221.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Keyd68c217.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3133057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fluxo W7M73c211.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.421,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M49c206.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M22c202.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.042,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Keyd77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Fluxo W7M73c199.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked Fluxo W7M31c189.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.696456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Fluxo W7M17c185.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.814137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd55c178.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5255950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e2…c2b9backed Fluxo W7M73c177.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M22c173.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.172,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Fluxo W7M57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Fluxo W7M44c169.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.413221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Fluxo W7M13c153$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8942427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M74c151.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.862,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…6669backed Fluxo W7M71c147.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Keyd47c146.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.329645.8%44 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Fluxo W7M7c146.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2411561.7%71 W · 44 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96be…69a9backed Fluxo W7M68c144.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0640%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd68c141.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Fluxo W7M32c140.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Keyd35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2421636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Keyd26c136.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.971,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Fluxo W7M72c134.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.861323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Keyd27c132.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fluxo W7M75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddae…7d66backed Fluxo W7M76c129.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.573345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed Fluxo W7M69c122.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.132552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Keyd22c108.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4936446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5e…f707backed Keyd21c106.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.93728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M32c105.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.024,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fluxo W7M75c103.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.171,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5626…ffe5backed Fluxo W7M10c101.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Fluxo W7M70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Fluxo W7M13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.274645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Fluxo W7M74c93.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Keyd42c92.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.517153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Fluxo W7M66c89.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.783663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Fluxo W7M77c85.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7812036.7%44 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Fluxo W7M58c84.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7322844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Fluxo W7M72c80.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.812934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4baf…498cbacked Keyd46c75.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.892951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Keyd22c75.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fluxo W7M22c73.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Keyd20c66.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.019364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.