Movies · resolved market
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abee04a945c8a586e1ab397c4e1293ecc31f265812b590fd4310e6cf0541706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,403$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.47 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 37c | 2,462$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.51 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 57c | 2,219$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.57 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 76c | 2,150$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.11 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,003$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.38 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 58c | 1,681$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.83 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 58c | 1,306$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.02 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 64c | 1,240$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,214$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.4 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 71c | 1,168$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…beddbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 32c | 971.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.7 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 24c | 907.48$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.11 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…abecbacked No | 67c | 902.2$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 49c | 896.95$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.24 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 35c | 881.46$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.32 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 13c | 777.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 665.23$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.43 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 17c | 604.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 578.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.76 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 40c | 542.88$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 22c | 531.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…7b96backed No | 42c | 512.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…be89backed No | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 56c | 473.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 71c | 421.47$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 28c | 420.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 62c | 396.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 37c | 324.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Yes | 32c | 316.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 21c | 307.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 60c | 284.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 35c | 276.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Yes | 17c | 269.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +486.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 79c | 254.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 41c | 220.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 19c | 213.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 200.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 21c | 199.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 25c | 199.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 45c | 199.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 176.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 23c | 164.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…abfbbacked No | 74c | 141.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 40c | 134$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 61c | 131.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 36c | 124.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 24c | 108.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 42c | 107.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 20c | 107.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 62c | 103.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 64c | 100.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 78c | 95.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…ec61backed Yes | 56c | 95.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 71c | 89.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 32c | 78.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9977backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…51dabacked Yes | 29c | 64.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +181%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 53c | 64.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 75c | 64.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6b7ebacked No | 35c | 62.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 73c | 61.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…9980backed No | 18c | 59.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 58.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…fa27backed Yes | 29c | 56.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 31c | 51.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 39c | 51.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 38c | 51.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 64c | 46.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 24c | 42.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 70c | 42.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 73c | 39.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 71c | 35.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…6341backed Yes | 55c | 33.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 36c | 33.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 32.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…eb72backed Yes | 39c | 30.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed No | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 54c | 22.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 72c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…5ae9backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…0d9cbacked No | 72c | 19.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?this page
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?No won
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?No won
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?No won
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.