Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ee54512539068471b1a744cd93a016ea9788cfbdf1bcfe05a0d9b251b1a2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 39c | 5,536$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…b007backed No | 59c | 4,637$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…fc96backed Yes | 66c | 4,235$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,087$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…d5c0backed Yes | 24c | 3,726$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 78c | 2,538$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.65 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…9b0abacked Yes | 7c | 2,165$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…78e0backed Yes | 18c | 1,978$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +462.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 1,603$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.21 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…7464backed Yes | 34c | 1,441$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 1,311$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Yes | 34c | 1,234$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e6…571ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,161$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 28c | 1,033$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 24c | 839.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked No | 77c | 791.18$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 76c | 781.42$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9624backed Yes | 68c | 756.57$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 44c | 655$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…527fbacked Yes | 25c | 627.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…2a51backed Yes | 72c | 613.7$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 45c | 590.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…6bb4backed Yes | 70c | 573.39$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 41c | 508.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 54c | 508$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…bb70backed Yes | 23c | 504.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…69a6backed Yes | 58c | 499.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +677.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d71…d427backed Yes | 30c | 413.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 42c | 400.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 22c | 400$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 22cpaid | +365.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 59c | 374.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…fa1abacked Yes | 10c | 370$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…2425backed Yes | 45c | 328.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 317$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed Yes | 22c | 315.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 30c | 308$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 307.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 54c | 298.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 287.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…b93bbacked Yes | 59c | 279.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9bf5backed Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 257.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 58c | 255.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…c70dbacked Yes | 8c | 249.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 222.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…bc73backed Yes | 28c | 215.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 215.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…52bdbacked Yes | 11c | 214.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +783.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 209.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…f32fbacked Yes | 8c | 201.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +632.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 30c | 189.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 26c | 187.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…c5c0backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…ea26backed Yes | 64c | 181.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…033fbacked Yes | 55c | 180.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ad88backed Yes | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +725.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…dff1backed Yes | 56c | 178.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…0014backed No | 67c | 175.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 42c | 172.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…4289backed Yes | 9c | 170.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +468.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 68c | 139.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…f63dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 61c | 133.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 123.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…1215backed Yes | 33c | 122.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…01e8backed Yes | 31c | 121.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…ff5bbacked No | 29c | 119.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…4922backed No | 62c | 113.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked Yes | 52c | 108.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…ed11backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…79a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 34c | 95.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…96a8backed Yes | 64c | 94.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 30c | 92.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…2660backed Yes | 53c | 91.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed No | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 72c | 86.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Yes | 73c | 81.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdda…e97bbacked No | 46c | 80.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 29c | 77.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 24c | 75.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 67c | 74.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 61c | 72.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be8…675fbacked No | 47c | 67.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…8225backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…fb09backed No | 26c | 65.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 63.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…719abacked Yes | 74c | 63.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 36c | 63.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…f845backed Yes | 33c | 61.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 70c | 58.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?this page
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.