Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x326fbec0681b7cf40098a6c5e720ce411082b428a923e00db5b08e0c173f97b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 0c | 18,480$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 14c | 9,302$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.03 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…9ca1backed No | 9c | 5,757$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…1279backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…5e5fbacked No | 2c | 3,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 28c | 3,232$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.94 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 78c | 2,982$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed No | 21c | 2,904$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.7 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed No | 3c | 2,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 1c | 2,398$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…a114backed No | 1c | 2,227$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…9f9fbacked No | 7c | 2,220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 2c | 2,110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…30ddbacked No | 1c | 2,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked No | 1c | 2,018$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…abcdbacked No | 21c | 1,934$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 17c | 1,725$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.46 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…d598backed Yes | 55c | 1,699$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…3636backed No | 1c | 1,653$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed No | 2c | 1,592$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 1,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…c759backed No | 45c | 1,419$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 77c | 1,398$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked No | 44c | 1,397$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed No | 68c | 1,160$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 26c | 1,100$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed No | 15c | 976$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…864dbacked No | 5c | 799.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 791$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 26c | 785.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 77c | 740.73$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 32c | 601.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…d077backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 27c | 480.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 53c | 468.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 78c | 393.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 80c | 326$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 25c | 325$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…79eebacked Yes | 50c | 322.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 7c | 316$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes | 69c | 290.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…4873backed No | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked No | 29c | 269.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 76c | 255.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…c290backed Yes | 57c | 247.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 44c | 229.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +488.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 8c | 215.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed No | 22c | 214.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…db4fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed Yes | 48c | 198.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 22c | 197$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 63c | 177.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…2aebbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…268fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7115…79aabacked No | 69c | 159.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 32c | 157.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 77c | 149.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 43c | 149.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 27c | 132.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…3e16backed Yes | 79c | 126.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 37c | 108.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…4342backed Yes | 49c | 105.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…a475backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…b245backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…ab5fbacked Yes | 29c | 84.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed No | 32c | 82.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 69c | 68.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…5c9cbacked Yes | 78c | 64.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 32c | 63.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Yes | 67c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…0d29backed Yes | 70c | 45.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…4344backed No | 25c | 39.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…87dabacked Yes | 76c | 37.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…d1e3backed Yes | 77c | 37.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…65a1backed No | 41c | 36.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 77c | 33.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…3455backed Yes | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…79c6backed Yes | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 65c | 27.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…a6c9backed Yes | 55c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Yes | 67c | 25.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…711fbacked Yes | 57c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Yes | 68c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…bad9backed Yes | 70c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?this page
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.