Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53b1264315dff2b92ad95e84b9814dbb0922e9cee69c315e3d06698fd9846d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0257…fbe8backed No | 0c | 7,210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…7876backed No | 10c | 1,244$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 14c | 669.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 22c | 464.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 55c | 330.55$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes | 80c | 234.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…3448backed Yes | 53c | 189.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 55c | 137.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 78c | 127.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 124.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 21c | 110.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 40c | 85.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Yes | 59c | 85.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…ee29backed Yes | 70c | 46.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…feadbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 55c | 28.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?this page
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.