Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e4f12076efb4a5d1e1fd2222d895f6d3d7146670b48cc26c75eb5ed3bf0f818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 6,170$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 8c | 4,599$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,652$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…73a0backed Yes | 1c | 3,202$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 2,607$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,453$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…b6abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,258$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,814$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,750$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…a750backed Yes | 1c | 1,691$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 11c | 1,619$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,609$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,473$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,454$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5a2bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,419$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…610abacked Yes | 6c | 1,392$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…f9e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,372$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,331$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,281$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 1,158$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,158$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…7664backed Yes | 8c | 1,149$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…2aebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Yes | 8c | 1,025$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 979.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 8c | 968.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 945.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…916bbacked Yes | 6c | 885.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…a8c7backed Yes | 6c | 833.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…1b75backed Yes | 6c | 820.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…f7d7backed Yes | 7c | 811.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…0962backed Yes | 8c | 638.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…b784backed Yes | 10c | 551.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 8c | 531.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…9d74backed Yes | 9c | 526.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…3d13backed Yes | 6c | 516.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…f44dbacked Yes | 8c | 508.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…1bf3backed Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 8c | 493.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb10…bd85backed Yes | 25c | 492.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Yes | 21c | 484.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 3c | 466.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 10c | 438.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…ccc1backed Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2f…66ddbacked Yes | 24c | 409.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 6c | 403.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 364.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 12c | 364.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…4269backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Yes | 19c | 315.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3376…de04backed Yes | 6c | 308.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 308.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 7c | 297.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…5e39backed Yes | 9c | 290.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…05b7backed Yes | 7c | 282.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…f29cbacked Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…1766backed Yes | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…346dbacked Yes | 8c | 247.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…3a71backed Yes | 8c | 245.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 7c | 244.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf9…2fd9backed Yes | 6c | 237.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 7c | 225.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…3cb3backed Yes | 11c | 224.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…4a98backed Yes | 9c | 222.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…f533backed Yes | 5c | 221.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…3e7abacked Yes | 6c | 219.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…a4b3backed Yes | 9c | 210.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 8c | 209.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…98febacked Yes | 10c | 194.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 190.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…5b9dbacked Yes | 19c | 186.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 11c | 160.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 160.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…643fbacked Yes | 11c | 154.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 148.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 10c | 145.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5eb…b2cfbacked Yes | 7c | 138.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…d951backed Yes | 9c | 134.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…8814backed Yes | 12c | 128.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 9c | 128$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…6cecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…2ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 95.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 83.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?this page
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?Yes won
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.