MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c0432b54e9506144bea76826016e1c2115e875deb43435d13d750b05059768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Boston Red Sox | 0c | 39,850$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 33,333$15,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,666.49 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 30,022$15,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,110.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 13,690$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.21 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 9,920$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.63 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 8,906$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.67 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,037$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.58 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 4,851$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 4,433$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.01 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 3,835$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.02 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 3,181$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.52 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 3,166$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 3,090$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 2,563$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.93 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 12c | 2,307$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.58 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,994$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,850$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…0c1fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,829$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,730$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.29 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 1,596$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Boston Red Sox | 12c | 1,384$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,302$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.01 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,080$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 1,035$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 977.53$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.66 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 971.27$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.3 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 914.5$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 849.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 768.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 750.39$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 738.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 721$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 712.86$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 707.06$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 685.31$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 663.43$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 625.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 596.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 524.89$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 502.73$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 467.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 305.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 297$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 295.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 294$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 279.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 272.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 228.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 210.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 197.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 185.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 170.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 165.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 159.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 154.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 148.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 136.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 131.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 116.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…41dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 110.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 101.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.