MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60af6fabfdba62b02138dac9204a6171eece3b0b04bdde78adf3b2cde9139889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 50c | 398,635$200,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,196.28 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 219,436$108,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,020.48 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 46,448$23,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,471.35 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 21,607$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 19,405$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 14,603$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,274.15 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 10,931$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.23 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 7,804$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.87 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 7,163$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 7,156$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.21 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 5,478$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 4,440$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 52c | 3,964$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.24 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 3,898$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.19 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 3,142$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 2,536$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 51c | 2,426$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.48 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 2,070$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.92 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 1,971$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.84 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.11 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 1,881$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.7 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,693$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 1,391$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.67 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 1,226$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.51 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 991.1$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.67 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 52c | 932.35$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 700$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 595.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 595.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 570.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 523.49$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 513.78$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 49c | 392$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 383$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 47c | 308.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Over | 50c | 263.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 49c | 215.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 198.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 180.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 52c | 174.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 173.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 159$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…47efbacked Under | 13c | 144.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 141.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 52c | 130.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 129.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 52c | 110.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 49c | 105.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Over | 70c | 105.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 96.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 50c | 96.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…c431backed Over | 51c | 95.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 31c | 90.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Over | 54c | 81.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 46c | 78.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…5b96backed Over | 52c | 74.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 52c | 74.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Under | 30c | 67.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 63c | 57.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Over | 52c | 52.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 54c | 50.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 49.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Under | 50c | 47.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 74c | 47.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 48c | 47.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 49c | 46.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 46.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…77aabacked Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 41.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 40.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.