MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff6c0c6fe50795ca617b890e31d1e00caa02f399ccd7fcc513534f0f79ce020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Detroit Tigers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 43,954$22,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,855.94 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 39,461$19,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,586.02 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 37,966$18,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,654.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 32,477$13,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,025.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 18,859$12,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.78 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 15,892$10,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,193.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 15,388$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,847.97 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 13,873$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.9 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 13,039$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.72 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 12,273$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 12,165$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.39 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 11,082$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.85 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…0c1fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 9,914$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,450.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 8,968$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.33 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 8,634$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…7465backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 7,990$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 7,787$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,753$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 6,649$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.91 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 6,512$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 6,300$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.33 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…d6afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,487$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 4,733$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.37 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 4,446$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,040$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.2 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,014$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 3,999$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,741$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.32 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 3,607$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 3,165$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.08 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.18 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,839$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,801$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.48 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 2,672$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.77 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…1ea5backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,247$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.32 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,177$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 2,056$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Detroit Tigers | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.93 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.96 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,960$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.91 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 1,916$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,886$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.45 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,694$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,693$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,619$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.88 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,471$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.27 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 1,338$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.12 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 1,315$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.02 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 1,299$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 1,293$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,230$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 1,226$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.78 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,173$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.49 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Detroit Tigers | 80c | 1,080$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.76 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Detroit Tigers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +545.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 988.79$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.28 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 980.75$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.54 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 947.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.76 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 887.94$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 874.27$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 844.45$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 840.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.07 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 814.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.75 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 808.36$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.87 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 696.33$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 681.66$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.1 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 672.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 663.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.38 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 635.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 613.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 586.52$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 553.93$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 523.69$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 522.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 507.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 502.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 499.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 477.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.97 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 464.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 452.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 448.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 446.94$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.55 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 444.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.39 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 419.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.