MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ce473c9629c3719dc4c45fd07bcd08f9575e9b59446594b658b98662e42fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 58,291$30,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,993.2 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 48c | 29,722$14,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,266.32 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 24,767$11,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,888.16 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 7,852$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 59c | 6,370$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 40c | 5,866$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.38 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 40c | 3,462$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.66 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 3,169$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 3,049$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 38c | 3,040$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.13 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 40c | 2,947$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.64 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 2,285$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.25 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 45c | 2,088$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.22 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 43c | 1,855$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.01 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 1,739$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.63 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 1,510$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.85 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 1,232$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.07 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 42c | 1,174$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…e579backed Under | 43c | 1,139$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,023$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 26c | 993.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 963.11$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 53c | 945.55$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.41 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 58c | 872.24$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 697.09$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 41c | 604.49$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 51c | 596.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 41c | 589.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 511.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 70c | 491.13$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 419.61$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 415.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 397.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Under | 29c | 390.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 376.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 322.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 40c | 248.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 19c | 247.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 243.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…44b4backed Under | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 49c | 230.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Under | 41c | 227.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 214.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 214.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 47c | 195.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 187.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 55c | 183.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 40c | 183.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 40c | 183.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 40c | 181.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 42c | 177.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 49c | 170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 164.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 60c | 161.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 18c | 154.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 41c | 152.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 40c | 135.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 43c | 126.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 59c | 114.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Under | 42c | 113.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 40c | 106.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 19c | 99.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 99.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 50c | 97.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 18c | 93.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 82.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 68c | 78.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 40c | 77.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 40c | 59.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 57.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 44c | 55.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 28c | 50.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 42c | 50.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 48c | 48.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 23c | 48.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 40c | 46.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Under | 50c | 46.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 59c | 46.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 58c | 45.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 40c | 45.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.