Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d33014770825d5fe4a621c71fbd1d1628059824c7a8682be36a296c819b105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 74c | 3,304$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.5 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 26c | 3,238$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.73 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 73c | 2,022$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…e4bdbacked Over | 27c | 1,944$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 74c | 1,725$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.53 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Over | 28c | 1,565$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.21 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 73c | 1,164$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 25c | 1,145$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 26c | 968.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Over | 27c | 885.37$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Under | 73c | 858.93$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 26c | 658.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 28c | 435.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 28c | 413.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 27c | 318.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 26c | 314.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 71c | 277.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 75c | 256.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Under | 76c | 223.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 78c | 217.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 73c | 181.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 42c | 165.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 25c | 133.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…6f02backed Under | 78c | 126.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…5298backed Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 75c | 94.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 22c | 93.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Under | 63c | 92.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 21c | 88.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 72c | 74.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Under | 73c | 67.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed Under | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 26c | 62.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 26c | 50.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 304 | 45.7%139 W · 165 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 46.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Under | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…d233backed Under | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Under | 79c | 31.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…6463backed Under | 74c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 65c | 24.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 66c | 24.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 75c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 72c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 75c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Under | 80c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e1…a2f5backed Under | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.