Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AGELITE vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561a3473881cb3df29332a5d802f8e509388ed4721c05f4d5ff59f16c7164444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riddleof AGELITE, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked AGELITE | 33c | 3,926$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.16 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Riddle | 67c | 3,293$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.71 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Riddle | 71c | 2,753$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.82 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Riddle | 71c | 1,684$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked AGELITE | 23c | 659.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AGELITE | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AGELITE | 28c | 263.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed AGELITE | 34c | 205.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed AGELITE | 28c | 191.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked AGELITE | 22c | 182.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked AGELITE | 32c | 149.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AGELITE | 18c | 111.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked AGELITE | 18c | 100.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AGELITE | 28c | 96.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed AGELITE | 32c | 66.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…15a8backed Riddle | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Riddle | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Riddle | 72c | 34.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Riddle | 68c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Riddle | 78c | 22.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Riddle | 66c | 19.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e285backed Riddle | 74c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.