TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Sentinels51c13,637$7,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,623.1754851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves34c6,476$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.3945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels64c3,608$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.1293248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked 100 Thieves42c3,426$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Sentinels64c2,693$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.2831153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves52c2,061$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.4265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked 100 Thieves54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94514152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e9…895dbacked Sentinels60c1,678$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves53c1,574$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.2353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels64c1,519$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2152455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed 100 Thieves65c1,505$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.049844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sentinels35c1,493$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.232047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves11c1,434$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves53c1,409$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Sentinels44c1,220$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves15c1,204$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.821,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves47c1,125$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sentinels31c1,003$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.961035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Sentinels63c888.83$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.897565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves47c881.31$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.419953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves45c562.66$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 100 Thieves46c558.31$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8210455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves51c551.16$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.528038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed 100 Thieves17c514.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.899142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves27c444.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.961,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Sentinels52c410.36$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.236336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Sentinels60c326.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.696755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels52c317.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves23c289.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.061,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed 100 Thieves38c281.79$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2417448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked 100 Thieves37c240.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5221048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 100 Thieves46c231.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4414645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves70c228.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked 100 Thieves21c228.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.934055%22 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves24c211$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4826730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed 100 Thieves15c192.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.477145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed 100 Thieves50c192.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.059654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves27c186.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked 100 Thieves7c185.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.554533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked 100 Thieves46c177.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.869148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 100 Thieves20c175.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5531227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed 100 Thieves23c171.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.693743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Sentinels63c169.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.048848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed 100 Thieves27c161.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed 100 Thieves52c154.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.774065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked 100 Thieves46c148.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.342040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves8c134.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd5…15a8backed 100 Thieves49c132.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Sentinels36c131.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0116046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked 100 Thieves64c126.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.218151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 100 Thieves11c123.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9921558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves19c110.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9626634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed 100 Thieves15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves26c97.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1315512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked 100 Thieves17c92.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Sentinels59c83.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0819661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Sentinels30c79.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.957948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed 100 Thieves35c76.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8326436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed 100 Thieves57c75.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Sentinels63c64.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed 100 Thieves46c63.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0312350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels40c60.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8642840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked 100 Thieves58c59.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.48per pick62cpaid-79.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves36c55.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves28c55.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Sentinels75c55.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.832638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Sentinels79c55.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.617456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 100 Thieves59c55.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.468050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed 100 Thieves47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.219859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Sentinels63c48.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0763652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76de…85ccbacked 100 Thieves59c41.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.392352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Sentinels73c37.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.086454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed 100 Thieves33c36.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b7…c8a8backed 100 Thieves50c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.422458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed 100 Thieves58c32.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Sentinels36c31.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9f…0f61backed 100 Thieves38c31.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed 100 Thieves58c30.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.554652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93be…af87backed 100 Thieves71c22.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.728254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked 100 Thieves56c17.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0721951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.