Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf509fe90d23f44a1a20332ceebd5a0b54bb4186975cca63bf3488844d075c7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 471.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 408.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sentinels | 57c | 400.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 397.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 59c | 240.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 231.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sentinels | 66c | 224.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Sentinels | 62c | 177.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Sentinels | 64c | 168.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 149.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sentinels | 64c | 146.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Sentinels | 64c | 105.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 57.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Sentinels | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Sentinels | 62c | 33.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sentinels | 64c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Sentinels | 64c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Sentinels | 63c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaSentinels won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.