Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727ea340e32d98196f0d9c482f217d165d600856561709498638d8c2c0f445d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof PARIVISION, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION | 1c | 50,150$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 28c | 28,898$7,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,903.72 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 26,850$18,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,005.62 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 72c | 25,832$18,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,688.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 24c | 24,253$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,456.41 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed South America Rejects | 25c | 19,778$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,785.71 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed PARIVISION | 68c | 17,800$12,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,067.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…ad79backed PARIVISION | 69c | 15,601$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,796.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 77c | 12,772$9,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,863.37 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 34c | 12,007$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,878.03 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 32c | 10,997$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.86 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 45c | 10,018$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.77 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed PARIVISION | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked PARIVISION | 0c | 9,421$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects | 37c | 9,416$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.06 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 8,607$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.51 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION | 76c | 8,002$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.47 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 7,887$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.17 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed PARIVISION | 27c | 7,646$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 7,205$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 6,958$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.07 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed South America Rejects | 33c | 6,870$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.07 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects | 58c | 6,528$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.34 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 5,993$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.83 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked South America Rejects | 28c | 5,882$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.04 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 5,462$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.28 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 74c | 5,420$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.76 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 5,400$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 5,278$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.93 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 75c | 5,005$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 5,003$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.63 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 73c | 4,920$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.74 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed PARIVISION | 75c | 4,890$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.54 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 25c | 4,800$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed South America Rejects | 25c | 4,392$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed South America Rejects | 30c | 4,387$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.51 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 4,254$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.46 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 34c | 4,137$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.44 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 75c | 3,781$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.59 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 3,744$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.81 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 33c | 3,389$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.57 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 35c | 3,370$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.17 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 3,351$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 46c | 3,169$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.56 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects | 26c | 3,044$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.8 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,984$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 2,956$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 2,865$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.75 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 2,803$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.79 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION | 75c | 2,781$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.53 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION | 4c | 2,500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 2,433$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 76c | 2,317$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.2 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 2,306$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.45 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 23c | 2,301$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.15 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed South America Rejects | 24c | 2,257$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.34 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed South America Rejects | 39c | 2,017$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.23 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,014$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.96 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 2,001$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.87 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed South America Rejects | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 1,962$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.18 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,962$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.78 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects | 25c | 1,910$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.24 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,822$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.7 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed South America Rejects | 78c | 1,809$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.27 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,782$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.41 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,750$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 1,718$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.67 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed South America Rejects | 71c | 1,691$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.12 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 1,535$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.4 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,516$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,511$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.7 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,507$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.82 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 34c | 1,494$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.04 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,458$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.48 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects | 33c | 1,451$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.07 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed South America Rejects | 68c | 1,448$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 7c | 1,390$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 1,341$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,313$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION | 3c | 1,300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed South America Rejects | 24c | 1,280$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.03 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed South America Rejects | 32c | 1,229$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,222$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,204$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.77 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed South America Rejects | 43c | 1,187$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.98 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed PARIVISION | 2c | 1,150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,130$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.29 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked PARIVISION | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked PARIVISION | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked PARIVISION | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed South America Rejects | 30c | 1,063$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.61 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed South America Rejects | 35c | 1,050$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed South America Rejects | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 76c | 985.6$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.06 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.