Dota2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a711bfc66a717039735cfd2d7b8ec6131535a66e1807b4e57a7fd1064757a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Over | 36c | 5,683$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 64c | 5,555$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.2 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 34c | 4,235$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 67c | 2,401$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.96 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 63c | 2,325$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 37c | 1,738$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.06 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 31c | 1,438$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.15 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 62c | 1,166$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.92 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 32c | 883.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.69 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 37c | 668.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.33 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 602.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 78c | 562.53$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 59c | 433.3$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…fb7cbacked Under | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +349.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 71c | 247.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 28c | 197.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Under | 55c | 155.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…2041backed Under | 34c | 147.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 50c | 135.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 11c | 125.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 14c | 121.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…eafabacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Over | 36c | 98.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…cce4backed Over | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 62c | 75.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Under | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Over | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 78c | 49.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed Under | 66c | 43.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 59c | 22.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Over | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 68c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.