Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b7a8159fc32279c902428f9fcc5913bd1c817f61149a25ef3d91822c63cc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof PARIVISION, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 11,252$6,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,638.45 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 39c | 4,200$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed South America Rejects | 41c | 3,685$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.31 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,572$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.12 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 39c | 1,499$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.54 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,366$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.04 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,361$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,126$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed South America Rejects | 43c | 903.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.08 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked South America Rejects | 44c | 864.21$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed South America Rejects | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked South America Rejects | 39c | 512.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 508.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…cfbabacked PARIVISION | 59c | 502.43$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed South America Rejects | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed PARIVISION | 61c | 480.29$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 440.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…b4f0backed PARIVISION | 61c | 438.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 419.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked South America Rejects | 41c | 339$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed PARIVISION | 60c | 324.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed South America Rejects | 42c | 286.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked South America Rejects | 39c | 280.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 60c | 273.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 246.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed South America Rejects | 42c | 205.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 169.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed South America Rejects | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed South America Rejects | 42c | 159.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…b15fbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 140.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 133.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked South America Rejects | 40c | 131.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed South America Rejects | 42c | 112.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked South America Rejects | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed PARIVISION | 61c | 81.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed South America Rejects | 41c | 74.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed PARIVISION | 54c | 58.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 56.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION | 55c | 56.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed South America Rejects | 40c | 40.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…3883backed South America Rejects | 47c | 40.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PARIVISION | 54c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…0ef4backed South America Rejects | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed South America Rejects | 44c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed South America Rejects | 42c | 31.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects | 44c | 23.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked South America Rejects | 68c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed PARIVISION | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.