TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FULL SENSEof FULL SENSE, VARREL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked FULL SENSE68c5,764$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.6433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked VARREL33c5,737$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.951717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked VARREL23c5,429$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.9615431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed VARREL7c5,085$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.255836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked FULL SENSE69c4,999$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.0278162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL5c4,047$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked VARREL32c3,430$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5215850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ff…5685backed VARREL32c2,133$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked VARREL31c2,013$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.361035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed VARREL32c1,775$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.8632047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed FULL SENSE67c1,142$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7628541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FULL SENSE79c1,108$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0441537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb36e…dab1backed FULL SENSE67c1,057$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked FULL SENSE68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.093770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed VARREL31c1,007$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0223447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed VARREL31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked VARREL32c985.52$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.372619.2%5 W · 21 L-8.1wins-0.31per pick50cpaid-66.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed VARREL31c958.07$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29713345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FULL SENSE68c869.04$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6431153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed VARREL32c777.1$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0115942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed VARREL11c764.58$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.521250%6 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+127.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed FULL SENSE69c746.83$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.996755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1198…3ba5backed FULL SENSE68c720.43$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed FULL SENSE76c711.66$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd5…15a8backed FULL SENSE79c702.38$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked VARREL32c659.93$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1829733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed FULL SENSE67c637.12$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed FULL SENSE68c626.86$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.19443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked VARREL9c615.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72cc…a957backed VARREL32c599.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed FULL SENSE68c562.38$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed FULL SENSE67c555.28$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2443059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed VARREL33c550$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.53345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed FULL SENSE68c537.81$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed VARREL31c515.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.911338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed FULL SENSE67c507$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.313633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d58…9b3fbacked FULL SENSE67c507$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed FULL SENSE68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605635.7%20 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc58…7894backed FULL SENSE67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed FULL SENSE67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked FULL SENSE70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa35…2a55backed FULL SENSE67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f0…8aa6backed FULL SENSE67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed FULL SENSE68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16022047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed VARREL32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf5…606bbacked FULL SENSE78c496.7$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a48…08c5backed VARREL7c484.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed VARREL9c480.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed VARREL11c478.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.913135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed VARREL9c456.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.055032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FULL SENSE68c447.68$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2624846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL13c430.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1288844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed FULL SENSE71c412.89$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0334253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed VARREL23c412.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed VARREL4c389.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.254342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked FULL SENSE68c380.92$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed VARREL33c365.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL11c363.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FULL SENSE67c340.44$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.349644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed VARREL31c332.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1153442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed VARREL30c308.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1212…1f64backed FULL SENSE68c295.31$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed VARREL12c292.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FULL SENSE68c217.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4234857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked FULL SENSE77c215.01$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed FULL SENSE68c214$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.485846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked VARREL32c201.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6110346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed FULL SENSE67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…b153backed VARREL32c192.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed VARREL32c191.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.391020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed FULL SENSE67c191.47$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1810551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9067…bfaabacked VARREL28c168.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.851136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked VARREL20c151.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.541735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked VARREL26c149.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3125444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed FULL SENSE66c146.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.966533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed FULL SENSE67c146.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4816046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed VARREL16c144.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FULL SENSE68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1618056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d6…2245backed FULL SENSE68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed VARREL31c139.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.146339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked FULL SENSE68c135.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed VARREL22c125.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5926730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked VARREL30c124.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.787436.5%27 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed VARREL31c123.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.338134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked VARREL33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.633753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed VARREL31c118.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8223732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL14c113$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed FULL SENSE68c103.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed VARREL15c102.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4263652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FULL SENSE66c102.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked VARREL28c101.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ff…2199backed FULL SENSE68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a2…fbd2backed FULL SENSE68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.314355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed VARREL31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed VARREL10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked VARREL14c99.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2530828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed FULL SENSE66c97.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3111446.5%53 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed FULL SENSE68c95.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed VARREL33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.792857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked VARREL23c86.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.