Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeec0649e0fcac514329709b2749b35bada96206e2453a187db71047f9da85d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FULL SENSEof FULL SENSE, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed VARREL | 62c | 5,447$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed FULL SENSE | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 52c | 2,219$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.35 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FULL SENSE | 47c | 1,515$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.19 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FULL SENSE | 52c | 1,164$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed FULL SENSE | 63c | 1,068$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FULL SENSE | 74c | 930.38$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FULL SENSE | 60c | 749.51$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed VARREL | 58c | 653.75$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked VARREL | 7c | 503.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE | 54c | 494.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 491.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked VARREL | 19c | 485.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…d59fbacked FULL SENSE | 74c | 381.65$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 322.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 293.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL | 54c | 253.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked VARREL | 5c | 250.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 215.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FULL SENSE | 80c | 215.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed VARREL | 64c | 176.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed VARREL | 66c | 140.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed VARREL | 34c | 115.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed FULL SENSE | 20c | 106.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VARREL | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed VARREL | 22c | 99.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed VARREL | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked VARREL | 21c | 94.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked FULL SENSE | 40c | 90.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed VARREL | 25c | 81.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed VARREL | 36c | 77.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed FULL SENSE | 59c | 71.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 68.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…556cbacked VARREL | 36c | 68.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed VARREL | 35c | 67.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked VARREL | 21c | 59.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked VARREL | 35c | 54.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked VARREL | 20c | 53.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…7879backed FULL SENSE | 78c | 53.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…35c1backed VARREL | 36c | 52.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked VARREL | 36c | 45.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed FULL SENSE | 56c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked VARREL | 56c | 42.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed FULL SENSE | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 38.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked FULL SENSE | 59c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FULL SENSE | 48c | 37.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked VARREL | 44c | 36.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…3284backed VARREL | 36c | 36.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 36.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…8f14backed VARREL | 36c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…e426backed VARREL | 36c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…a4d1backed VARREL | 37c | 33.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FULL SENSE | 76c | 33.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FULL SENSE | 64c | 30.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked FULL SENSE | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked VARREL | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…85ccbacked FULL SENSE | 70c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…bbd0backed VARREL | 57c | 25.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed VARREL | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)FULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.