Token Launches · resolved market
Aleo airdrop by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c9ca6c6cc0f36322128946c5a936b140ba0f992e4bfdf629792a8540c354f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 0c | 105,184$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…e87fbacked No | 74c | 9,810$7,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…62e6backed Yes | 60c | 8,632$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…29a1backed Yes | 60c | 7,654$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…65afbacked No | 40c | 7,654$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e3…7436backed Yes | 70c | 7,249$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…8e90backed No | 30c | 7,249$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…c9fbbacked Yes | 31c | 6,413$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 58c | 5,260$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes | 40c | 4,455$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.82 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 4,259$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.46 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 24c | 4,047$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 60c | 3,921$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.33 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…dcd2backed Yes | 55c | 3,872$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…febfbacked Yes | 37c | 3,503$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…d385backed Yes | 49c | 2,825$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 2,724$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…ccefbacked No | 49c | 2,152$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…854fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,941$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…bc78backed Yes | 36c | 1,923$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,757$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…8c54backed Yes | 58c | 1,663$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 76c | 1,508$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.87 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…ba38backed No | 38c | 1,458$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 1,424$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.59 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 26c | 1,290$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…ef25backed No | 65c | 1,224$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 69c | 1,178$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 64c | 1,141$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed No | 37c | 1,075$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 18c | 1,038$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…4763backed Yes | 19c | 995.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed No | 65c | 918.8$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 63c | 914.01$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Yes | 18c | 887.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 43c | 859.62$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…33c7backed No | 27c | 855.44$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…5fc1backed Yes | 25c | 787.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 30c | 748.6$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 79c | 728.69$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked No | 61c | 722.59$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…ea68backed No | 42c | 699.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…ef85backed Yes | 29c | 699.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…8a10backed No | 12c | 695.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +382.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 72c | 668.81$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…8dafbacked Yes | 40c | 654.26$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Yes | 37c | 600$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…6cfdbacked No | 4c | 594$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…8bd0backed Yes | 59c | 585.75$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…5345backed No | 19c | 574.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7b…8baebacked No | 24c | 563.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…41d0backed Yes | 37c | 553.11$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Yes | 57c | 513.35$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…9937backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 48c | 494.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed No | 53c | 491.45$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…b347backed Yes | 34c | 487.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 49c | 469.26$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 80c | 468.81$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 21c | 452.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…d0adbacked No | 35c | 447.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…9474backed Yes | 54c | 439.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed No | 53c | 435.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 7c | 434.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…81b4backed Yes | 15c | 408.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 13c | 401.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…d2afbacked No | 45c | 379.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 57c | 375.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…aa87backed No | 54c | 358.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…aa30backed No | 56c | 350.21$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 64c | 342.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 339.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…6293backed Yes | 59c | 337.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…14f8backed Yes | 61c | 327.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed No | 54c | 326.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 71c | 314.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…cb88backed No | 35c | 313.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…2ad1backed Yes | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…ec76backed Yes | 58c | 273.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Yes | 71c | 258.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…e3a9backed Yes | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…7aa7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…2a49backed No | 43c | 230.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 46c | 218.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 64c | 217.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…88cdbacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 52c | 203.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 59c | 200.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…35fabacked Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…ecb0backed Yes | 55c | 196.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…4991backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52c…a46ebacked Yes | 28c | 181.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…8137backed Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed Yes | 65c | 179.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 60c | 178.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed Yes | 39c | 171.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed Yes | 68c | 165.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aleo airdrop by September 30?this page
- Base airdrop by September 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by September 30?No won
- Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Yes won
- Jumper airdrop by September 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by September 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by September 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by September 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by September 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by September 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.