Token Launches · resolved market
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa3564cea69975fb0a0400019994759747362ff229e7dfff3777caa83d284e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 23c | 11,321$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 49c | 7,389$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.57 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…3854backed Yes | 74c | 7,149$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…7031backed No | 26c | 7,149$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 32c | 7,030$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.66 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 27c | 4,049$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.38 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 73c | 3,642$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…d4c2backed No | 7c | 3,435$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…4199backed Yes | 67c | 2,677$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…241bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,262$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 15c | 2,151$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…b5ecbacked Yes | 58c | 1,885$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…33c7backed Yes | 80c | 1,678$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 54c | 1,576$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.21 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 41c | 1,425$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.27 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…eaf9backed No | 67c | 1,320$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,023$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 41c | 956.52$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.79 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 912.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7f8bbacked No | 77c | 776.21$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 59c | 702.28$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…0baebacked Yes | 57c | 650$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 38c | 642.08$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…6b62backed Yes | 79c | 549.38$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 36c | 512.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…ff15backed No | 64c | 507.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 58c | 506.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…35fabacked No | 42c | 404.74$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…9937backed Yes | 58c | 404$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…9a21backed No | 60c | 393.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 22c | 354.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Yes | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed No | 58c | 325.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…5cd2backed No | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked No | 54c | 309.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…3f97backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…8137backed No | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 67c | 277.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 55c | 275.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…443bbacked Yes | 52c | 261$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…f266backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b1…ec47backed No | 45c | 238.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…289bbacked Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…aec9backed No | 57c | 233$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…294dbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…e484backed Yes | 53c | 197.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 72c | 182.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…0513backed Yes | 77c | 179.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…6293backed Yes | 60c | 165.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…2998backed No | 58c | 163.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…8d19backed Yes | 66c | 153.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…2c59backed Yes | 63c | 152.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…4463backed Yes | 45c | 151.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 25c | 125.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…79ecbacked Yes | 53c | 124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…171cbacked Yes | 78c | 122.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed No | 50c | 118.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…5f0cbacked Yes | 78c | 109.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ca…3070backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…89c6backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…4404backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…2671backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3617…ed77backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…a630backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…86f8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…c1e3backed Yes | 61c | 99.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 66c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed No | 60c | 94.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…a889backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7c…d18ebacked No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…b07dbacked No | 59c | 84.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1d72backed No | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…b04fbacked Yes | 62c | 83.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee93…0510backed Yes | 63c | 82.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 66c | 82.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…4f65backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 63c | 80.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…dcdabacked Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…c65bbacked Yes | 68c | 76.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1c35backed Yes | 77c | 75.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…3769backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…3093backed Yes | 68c | 67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…6949backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +451.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe7…e766backed Yes | 44c | 66.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…d8b0backed No | 65c | 66.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 30c | 65.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…ebedbacked Yes | 72c | 64.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 30c | 63.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked No | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…67b1backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…2359backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked Yes | 67c | 55.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…cc17backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zircuit airdrop by September 30?this page
- Aleo airdrop by September 30?No won
- Base airdrop by September 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by September 30?No won
- Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Yes won
- Jumper airdrop by September 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by September 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by September 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by September 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by September 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.