Token Launches · resolved market
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc4575615a6fb4f8b893c7301f554d19c5bf23b6d6ba8350997c48cf13a066c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,508,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,548,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,508,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd60…fc7ebacked No | 3c | 115,245$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 7c | 56,107$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 5c | 50,836$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…fff3backed No | 0c | 26,222$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…b8a3backed No | 3c | 22,979$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 5c | 20,861$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…15e3backed No | 50c | 18,556$9,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,230.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 3c | 17,469$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.77 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…98e7backed No | 5c | 16,584$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked No | 4c | 16,014$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 6c | 15,985$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…febfbacked No | 2c | 15,727$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…d9e8backed No | 0c | 15,131$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…0da2backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 3c | 13,010$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 3c | 12,000$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 3c | 11,640$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…b230backed No | 1c | 11,223$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed No | 9c | 11,079$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed Yes | 5c | 11,064$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,518.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8c…a523backed No | 0c | 10,995$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed No | 5c | 10,984$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…d422backed No | 15c | 10,730$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…b95ebacked No | 0c | 10,495$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…0efdbacked No | 0c | 10,416$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…262dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…7c2bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…ab73backed No | 1c | 9,632$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…7b5ebacked No | 30c | 9,199$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…38c0backed Yes | 70c | 9,199$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked No | 3c | 8,325$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked No | 3c | 8,055$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed No | 38c | 7,853$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 11c | 7,081$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…144ebacked No | 25c | 6,875$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd0…6527backed Yes | 75c | 6,875$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…38f1backed No | 25c | 6,797$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…b06dbacked Yes | 75c | 6,797$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0220…2429backed Yes | 69c | 6,665$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…aae6backed No | 31c | 6,665$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…61f0backed Yes | 76c | 6,638$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…597dbacked No | 24c | 6,638$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf47…0a1bbacked Yes | 75c | 6,454$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c7b7backed No | 25c | 6,454$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…05fbbacked No | 5c | 5,750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7134…acb0backed Yes | 70c | 5,724$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…3a03backed No | 30c | 5,724$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…33ebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,690$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +499.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…19c4backed No | 1c | 5,581$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…6ca1backed No | 6c | 5,490$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…7ef9backed No | 0c | 5,390$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 4c | 5,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 2c | 4,999$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…6c41backed Yes | 42c | 4,904$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…7a71backed No | 25c | 4,826$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…0883backed No | 14c | 4,693$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 6c | 4,552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…70f9backed No | 56c | 4,496$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 3c | 4,347$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d9c9backed No | 5c | 4,344$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 4,325$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked No | 30c | 4,307$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…621ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,125$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…2fcdbacked No | 49c | 4,118$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 4c | 3,966$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed No | 30c | 3,786$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Yes | 61c | 3,708$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked No | 7c | 3,497$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed No | 4c | 3,414$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked No | 5c | 3,273$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…7003backed No | 2c | 3,267$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked No | 28c | 3,020$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a5…78e0backed No | 1c | 2,863$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…8129backed No | 3c | 2,704$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed No | 6c | 2,689$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…3c76backed Yes | 28c | 2,684$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,666$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.91 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…dfbcbacked No | 6c | 2,581$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…5833backed No | 0c | 2,509$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…edcdbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…6ff5backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,276$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 27c | 2,155$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.33 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…c8d0backed No | 2c | 2,073$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 1c | 2,055$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…90aebacked No | 5c | 1,874$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…4ccabacked No | 44c | 1,853$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked No | 2c | 1,795$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ad0abacked No | 1c | 1,727$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked No | 6c | 1,717$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…0d61backed Yes | 77c | 1,662$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 72c | 1,597$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…da50backed Yes | 71c | 1,520$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 36c | 1,517$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3686…660abacked No | 7c | 1,491$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…e592backed No | 10c | 1,439$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?this page
- Aleo airdrop by September 30?No won
- Base airdrop by September 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by September 30?No won
- Jumper airdrop by September 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by September 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by September 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by September 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by September 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by September 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.