Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb229fa489c7999ed55bfe4ea85fef44ec7c9ccf76d94c5e30147f27c7d2860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 23,869$10,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,765.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 22,669$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,218.68 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 77c | 20,812$15,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,974.98 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 26c | 16,126$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,932.93 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 16,059$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,421.65 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 23c | 13,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 25c | 7,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.96 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 79c | 6,725$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 77c | 6,353$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 25c | 6,159$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.36 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 79c | 5,899$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 23c | 5,435$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 24c | 4,907$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.54 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 4,880$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.34 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 25c | 4,643$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.92 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 25c | 4,584$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 57c | 4,502$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 26c | 3,540$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.24 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…659fbacked Yes | 75c | 3,410$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 78c | 3,251$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.79 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 42c | 2,932$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 75c | 2,865$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 25c | 2,718$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,687$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.96 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 77c | 2,649$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 25c | 2,632$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.24 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 75c | 2,267$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 76c | 1,949$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.75 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 43c | 1,905$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.09 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 76c | 1,828$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…55aabacked No | 26c | 1,563$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…24c6backed Yes | 76c | 1,563$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 76c | 1,519$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.44 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…f90ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,515$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 74c | 1,504$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.84 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e3…61e5backed Yes | 76c | 1,495$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…8d9fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,490$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 56c | 1,450$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b987backed Yes | 76c | 1,447$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…11a9backed Yes | 76c | 1,420$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…7e82backed Yes | 76c | 1,381$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…cff4backed Yes | 75c | 1,302$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 72c | 1,290$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,108$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…e897backed Yes | 48c | 1,088$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 75c | 1,081$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.59 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…3ca5backed Yes | 49c | 1,043$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 40c | 1,010$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 74c | 951.43$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 25c | 863.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.29 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…e5c0backed Yes | 75c | 809.08$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed No | 62c | 808.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 24c | 799.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.96 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 80c | 773.81$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 768.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 13c | 643.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 57c | 618.76$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 19c | 534.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 75c | 465$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 24c | 462.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 73c | 460$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 78c | 451.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 23c | 444.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.04 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 76c | 438.8$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed Yes | 77c | 412.03$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 56c | 410.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…e68ebacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…8f7fbacked Yes | 75c | 399.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 399.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 75c | 393.72$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 365.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 57c | 361.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 55c | 360.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…ac1cbacked Yes | 43c | 348.26$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 65c | 347$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Iceland vs. France end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Iceland win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.