TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c80,000$27,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,55017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c29,940$14,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,868.069450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c24,011$13,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,658.7827453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c18,692$11,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,073.684,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ef…5232backed Yes53c11,321$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No80c10,827$8,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13de…e133backed Yes53c9,441$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No47c7,057$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.328552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No47c4,755$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No70c4,295$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.514067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes54c4,139$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2353441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No47c3,848$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.6515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c3,166$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.673,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes53c2,882$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302425%6 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No46c2,846$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.8829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c2,418$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.0450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes52c2,296$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29a…21e7backed Yes53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No47c2,154$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.4310956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No70c1,802$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.3660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe821…248fbacked No50c1,419$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.42966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c1,388$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.0730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No47c1,385$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes75c1,361$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.753455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes77c1,295$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No70c1,230$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3693050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes54c1,047$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked No26c1,000$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.987060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Yes76c998.67$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No48c950.19$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes53c936.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c819$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda29…30febacked Yes76c744.3$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No47c691.37$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.514845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes36c666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Yes79c636.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31812845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9914348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Yes51c574.31$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No49c539.29$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c496.3$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6a…8e3abacked Yes54c451.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No50c445$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.510248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ad…80f6backed No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes53c405.66$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes52c404.92$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.17953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No47c399.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.986235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes54c387.04$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No47c385.77$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.853240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e80…b1e7backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No21c370.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2813969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No52c351.78$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1117155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes54c350$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4720255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes53c337.13$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.684240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes53c331$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4314540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No48c302.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.083372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15911947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes53c281.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes52c270.41$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes53c245.75$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.023372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes53c235.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.615248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes68c205.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No47c199.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c190.67$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x186b…641cbacked Yes8c188.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28d7…d3bebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.579949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a8…db3dbacked Yes53c149.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No55c132.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.098452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes53c130$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No47c124$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.38939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes75c109.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.43740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09f…4ad6backed Yes54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.