La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc108ccfc34808e4eba2e089570dc2f56cc622bb330ca376498ee647e4ddb563a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 29,748$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.83 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 9,393$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 64c | 8,407$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.21 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 64c | 4,951$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.23 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.98 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,098$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.26 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 1,857$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 1,325$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.14 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,105$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.19 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 45c | 854.41$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.15 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 799.73$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 19c | 752.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.45 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 739.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…e6c0backed Yes | 68c | 642$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 600.34$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 67c | 528.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 417$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 414.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Yes | 16c | 376.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 23c | 253.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 191.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 20c | 175.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…38c3backed Yes | 61c | 164.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 133.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 91.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…7e55backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…056cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 32c | 44.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 67c | 31.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Sevilla vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.