Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0232d9789fad275889803816a0db229c56a25ae6af416c45612165b499c7ecc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 71c | 46,437$32,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,545.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 16,109$12,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.96 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 15,329$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.45 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 29c | 14,753$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.14 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 74c | 14,211$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 12,372$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.3 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 27c | 11,304$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.16 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 11,018$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.78 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 30c | 9,132$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.08 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 25c | 8,795$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 3c | 7,553$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 26c | 7,026$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.23 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 18c | 6,765$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.44 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 72c | 5,499$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.84 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 5,432$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.82 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 3,011$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.94 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,725$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,108$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.11 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 69c | 2,039$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…4813backed Yes | 71c | 1,689$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…8787backed Yes | 74c | 1,616$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 12c | 1,570$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked No | 28c | 1,449$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 70c | 1,214$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 32c | 1,187$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 29c | 999.89$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 70c | 997.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 69c | 988.41$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 910.41$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…5101backed Yes | 74c | 819.24$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 74c | 794.11$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 74c | 785.08$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…af69backed Yes | 71c | 783.21$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 723.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 713.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 28c | 689.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 30c | 676.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 29c | 599.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 20c | 531.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed Yes | 70c | 453.61$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…4fa6backed Yes | 71c | 424.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 29c | 412$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 32c | 391$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…63e9backed Yes | 74c | 362.55$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…f9d8backed Yes | 69c | 349.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…4f41backed Yes | 71c | 338.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…60e9backed Yes | 71c | 315.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 29c | 286.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 32c | 263.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 29c | 247.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 8c | 220.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 73c | 209.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed Yes | 75c | 202.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 75c | 190.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 29c | 175.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 71c | 169.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…69d3backed Yes | 71c | 169.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 71c | 168.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 73c | 157.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 74c | 153.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…fd7ebacked No | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked Yes | 70c | 147.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…52e0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…5157backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 70c | 142.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 69c | 141.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…7aadbacked Yes | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…567dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes | 74c | 137.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…7d2dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…176cbacked Yes | 71c | 123.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 72c | 110.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Lithuania vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
- Will Lithuania win on 2025-10-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.