Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b983673662e5814c97866f77f4a7cfd710cd67e42b4fa7eff29c444a0f2ab2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 4,447$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 2,060$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.9 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 63c | 2,050$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 25c | 2,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.44 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 1,042$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 829.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.13 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 403.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.51 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 26c | 352.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 54c | 309.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 298.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 265$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 212.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 55c | 181.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 24c | 178.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 25c | 140.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…2ba7backed No | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 123.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 92.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 85.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 73.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…f2a3backed No | 68c | 43.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -7.1wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 80c | 16.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 78c | 14.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 14.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.