Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155eaf72601488147e1276506e920829ba1075cf06d99fb4fad56ff29124e029

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,567 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	65c	14,501$9,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,021.58	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.97	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf177…d4f9backed Yes	0c	7,616$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes	30c	7,196$2,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125.78	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	44c	3,864$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	56c	3,711$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,632.69	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	55c	3,508$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.71	246	47.6%117 W · 129 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	44c	3,272$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.52	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes	44c	2,680$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.87	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Yes	44c	2,455$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.29	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes	44c	2,272$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes	47c	2,151$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.52	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	56c	1,862$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.73	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	56c	1,476$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.36	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	40c	1,263$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.67	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	44c	1,150$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x996f…fb2cbacked Yes	44c	1,142$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes	44c	1,140$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.72	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes	45c	1,113$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes	44c	1,039$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	44c	807.94$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.89	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	56c	663.11$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.84	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	56c	599.99$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Yes	74c	594.59$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Yes	43c	581.17$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes	44c	527.68$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.18	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	46c	518.83$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.48	103	66%68 W · 35 L	+12.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	24c	499.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.99	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes	44c	477.27$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes	14c	415.07$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes	44c	340.91$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb16e…eff7backed Yes	44c	301.27$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	100	33%33 W · 67 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	42c	267.2$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.22	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No	29c	249.87$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.46	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2541…10a8backed Yes	71c	242.65$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes	44c	229.43$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.95	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	40.7%70 W · 102 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes	45c	222.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes	62c	219.18$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e96…a75bbacked Yes	45c	213.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked No	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes	44c	188.86$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.1	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe245…32cabacked Yes	45c	182.6$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…41d3backed No	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	57c	168.4$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.3	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d85…5df7backed Yes	44c	147.73$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa797…2a17backed Yes	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes	44c	136.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	218	40.8%89 W · 129 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No	54c	119.18$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.82	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No	56c	101$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.32per pick	47cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes	44c	99.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	263	54.8%144 W · 119 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	55c	76.84$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.58	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes	44c	75.68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes	27c	75.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes	76c	65.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…d11ebacked Yes	44c	52.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ba…e5a9backed Yes	44c	52.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	123	27.6%34 W · 89 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5224…a664backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No	56c	49.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	105	35.2%37 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb52…3a31backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…2df3backed Yes	44c	45.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…4ebabacked Yes	45c	44.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	54c	44.57$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0862…c7aabacked Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No	53c	41.42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x825a…ece6backed Yes	44c	40.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes	43c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes	44c	34.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes	44c	34.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b7…32a7backed Yes	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…7baabacked Yes	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes	45c	26.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?this page
Will Estonia vs. Moldova end in a draw?Yes won
Will Moldova win on 2025-10-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event