Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b8d59d3f32bf5f37e7d6307dadc08a06438d02af203daaa23dd7088bb67c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,358$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.18 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,250$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 32c | 1,010$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 34c | 619.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 323.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 32c | 281.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 34c | 253.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 233.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 200.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 167.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 162.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 155$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed No | 67c | 150.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 107.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 100.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…7798backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 48.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 68c | 36.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 33c | 30.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.