TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c18,540$8,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,412.6885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c9,188$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,145.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.743855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c4,582$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.071,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c3,229$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c2,943$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.552,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad3…a392backed Yes45c2,147$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes45c1,700$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c1,509$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.921,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c1,134$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.182,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c1,031$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No56c981.85$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.84837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33613662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No57c476.48$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.811,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c463.76$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No11c459.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4816232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes45c450$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.621,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No55c445.4$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.975156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes45c308.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9919357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No38c185$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No56c118.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6716863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes45c110.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.898444%37 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No11c93.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3129041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0189152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No56c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes43c67.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.091,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e4…7798backed No31c65.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes80c62.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No56c59.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3636259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes56c55.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c50.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a14…4313backed No57c50.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No56c48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No56c47.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c44.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2351847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae4…e122backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes44c42.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6714252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No29c40.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.816634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2825553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No29c36.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed No57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.955538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0432656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No56c32.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes68c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-79.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa506…d4ddbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4428359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.229657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.212951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.