CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde90738286ac666658c3bb1ec9865de2eefe47263dc22b00cef3d4c5e8255976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 1c | 9,670$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 51c | 2,928$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.91 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,554$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 19c | 2,201$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.17 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 29c | 1,595$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.26 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 31c | 1,406$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 19c | 1,337$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 9c | 1,300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 62c | 1,247$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 74c | 1,158$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.48 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 9c | 950$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 38c | 835.04$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 508.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.46 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 34c | 477.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 66c | 456.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 396.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Under | 66c | 339.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 73c | 320.03$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 74c | 311.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 19c | 290.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 34c | 265.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 71c | 186.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 38c | 185.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 72c | 166.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 17c | 144.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed Under | 67c | 134.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…4c34backed Under | 66c | 114.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 13c | 110.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 23c | 108.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Under | 12c | 99.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Under | 67c | 90.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 37c | 78.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Under | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 78c | 58.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Over | 38c | 52.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 32c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Under | 68c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 48.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Over | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Over | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Over | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 66c | 26.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Under | 77c | 26.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…32d6backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Under | 79c | 13.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)Monte won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.