Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45dfeb8088ef684004f6da7ab453cb1e7cacb14330b06a4eb7ba556e47201c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,541,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,826,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,541,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 783 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 16c | 208,042$34,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,136.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…1de5backed Yes | 22c | 136,974$30,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,453.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 5c | 120,648$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.03 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 8c | 120,205$9,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,046.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 11c | 88,049$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.63 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 14c | 77,189$11,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 79c | 75,884$60,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,825.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 8c | 62,076$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.61 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 51,278$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.39 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 17c | 42,361$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,346.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…1e55backed Yes | 23c | 39,151$8,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,991.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Yes | 18c | 32,861$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 16c | 28,312$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 28,121$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.37 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 78c | 27,530$21,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.02 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ed84backed Yes | 15c | 26,707$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 8c | 25,928$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.32 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 22c | 25,858$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcb…fe68backed Yes | 11c | 25,353$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 21c | 24,700$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 79c | 23,245$18,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 25c | 20,478$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 77c | 20,002$15,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…6d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 18,974$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 79c | 18,762$14,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 80c | 15,983$12,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…4cebbacked Yes | 19c | 15,316$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed No | 78c | 15,157$11,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 75c | 15,000$11,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 10c | 14,433$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…cca4backed Yes | 0c | 13,987$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…30a6backed Yes | 17c | 13,577$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 12,622$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…dfbebacked Yes | 4c | 12,373$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 12,000$9,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 78c | 11,565$9,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.37 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked No | 80c | 11,297$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…5e8bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,225$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…6662backed Yes | 5c | 10,602$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 78c | 10,511$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…1899backed Yes | 19c | 10,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 80c | 10,351$8,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 10,309$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…1d52backed Yes | 5c | 10,144$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…a42ebacked Yes | 21c | 9,517$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 9,102$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.97 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 79c | 9,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…8cb0backed Yes | 17c | 9,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 77c | 8,993$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.56 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 17c | 8,871$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.41 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 79c | 7,939$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.83 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,852$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 22c | 7,792$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 78c | 7,777$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 17c | 7,742$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 21c | 7,604$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.03 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 15c | 7,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…187fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,459$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 78c | 7,222$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…e476backed Yes | 29c | 6,958$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…c469backed Yes | 27c | 6,604$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 78c | 6,566$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 17c | 6,476$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…fa60backed Yes | 11c | 6,432$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…aeb0backed No | 78c | 6,376$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 6c | 6,373$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.42 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 19c | 6,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,986$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 77c | 5,788$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,673$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.38 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 77c | 5,665$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.86 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 78c | 5,578$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.92 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,319$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 23c | 5,186$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…f469backed Yes | 6c | 5,146$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 5,035$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.45 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…27cdbacked Yes | 25c | 4,990$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 24c | 4,942$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…e4b9backed Yes | 10c | 4,843$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…2edebacked Yes | 20c | 4,784$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…36e9backed Yes | 21c | 4,756$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 77c | 4,703$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.14 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x894f…1599backed Yes | 22c | 4,622$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…14f0backed No | 77c | 4,550$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…0223backed Yes | 21c | 4,524$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 80c | 4,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…64fabacked Yes | 13c | 4,473$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 1c | 4,432$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 76c | 4,391$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 15c | 4,309$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 25c | 4,281$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 19c | 4,179$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.8 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed No | 74c | 4,160$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.