TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof Weibo Gaming, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d59…d20fbacked BNK FEARX65c16,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6006045%27 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Weibo Gaming35c11,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85021740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Weibo Gaming26c8,125$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.489149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BNK FEARX56c7,530$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.531036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming35c7,368$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.583,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Weibo Gaming43c6,837$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.0936433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Weibo Gaming42c4,955$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e59…a17cbacked Weibo Gaming36c4,603$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.322166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming35c4,309$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.332,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked BNK FEARX58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68032350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked BNK FEARX77c3,750$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.53745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Weibo Gaming43c3,301$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.387751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Weibo Gaming28c3,204$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.681,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Weibo Gaming44c2,341$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.9392450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Weibo Gaming47c2,201$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7327346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed BNK FEARX57c1,747$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.9645041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked BNK FEARX58c1,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6257444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked BNK FEARX57c1,422$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.4613747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed BNK FEARX49c1,411$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.1218340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked BNK FEARX57c1,348$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.4726360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Weibo Gaming42c1,338$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4848742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BNK FEARX58c1,224$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9751852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked BNK FEARX59c1,118$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46351160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9378…d2ddbacked BNK FEARX57c1,100$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4692470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Weibo Gaming4c1,095$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.817410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Weibo Gaming47c1,069$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5921939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.179653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed BNK FEARX60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008769%60 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Weibo Gaming22c860.37$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8635431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Weibo Gaming40c814$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.654129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda45…b320backed BNK FEARX56c750.83$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BNK FEARX55c739.06$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.581,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming49c700$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked BNK FEARX46c687.06$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7341752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked BNK FEARX63c610.47$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2821549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Weibo Gaming43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25819041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb16e…eff7backed BNK FEARX60c543.01$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.181250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Weibo Gaming30c536.11$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5440232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX57c501.4$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.41,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed BNK FEARX56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22027452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Weibo Gaming40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011358.4%66 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Weibo Gaming59c490$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.131,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Weibo Gaming41c487$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0914236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d2…492ebacked BNK FEARX56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX54c442$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0644550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Weibo Gaming42c419.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.12733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked BNK FEARX58c415.19$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3810151.5%52 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed BNK FEARX64c405.8$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7814338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX57c400$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed BNK FEARX60c333.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.674858.3%28 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed BNK FEARX61c327.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8813960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Weibo Gaming43c322.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.88633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+209%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Weibo Gaming39c306.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.421,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked BNK FEARX56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13219451%99 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Weibo Gaming32c277.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed BNK FEARX58c270$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Weibo Gaming45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Weibo Gaming54c243.31$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3228855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked BNK FEARX62c241$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Weibo Gaming26c237.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8325236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked BNK FEARX57c223.35$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0411662.9%73 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Weibo Gaming43c223.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962931%9 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed BNK FEARX57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked BNK FEARX79c180.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8315756.7%89 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed BNK FEARX57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4420563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed BNK FEARX58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.247054.3%38 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Weibo Gaming36c164.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.061,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed BNK FEARX58c160$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.821735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Weibo Gaming44c145.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648632.6%28 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Weibo Gaming20c140$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.356317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked BNK FEARX58c137.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4122858.3%133 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…03dbbacked BNK FEARX54c121.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.057047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed BNK FEARX74c120.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6512361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed BNK FEARX61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3936465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked Weibo Gaming44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed BNK FEARX57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4318242.3%77 W · 105 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed BNK FEARX58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4229758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Weibo Gaming31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.121859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Weibo Gaming41c97.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Weibo Gaming43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015543.9%68 W · 87 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8050…7714backed Weibo Gaming35c86.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Weibo Gaming41c84.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed Weibo Gaming41c84.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.744163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f0…b870backed BNK FEARX61c77.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.072250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f5…90abbacked BNK FEARX70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa904…9cecbacked BNK FEARX76c67.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Weibo Gaming43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015370.6%108 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e1…5848backed Weibo Gaming44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed BNK FEARX57c43.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.597145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Weibo Gaming48c42.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4c…0314backed BNK FEARX60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked BNK FEARX79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.424570.6%173 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd710…a9febacked BNK FEARX56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…9cb3backed Weibo Gaming27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87837.2%29 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Weibo Gaming44c34.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2220045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Weibo Gaming44c34.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1531661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Weibo Gaming41c33.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.94533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115a…097fbacked BNK FEARX60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Weibo Gaming53c31.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.