TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs DK

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, DK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d46…ef86backed T178c25,726$19,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked T175c20,190$15,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked DK25c17,640$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked DK22c15,225$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed DK22c14,476$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.731844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked DK24c13,228$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.0221424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked DK32c11,500$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed T168c10,932$7,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.7645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed DK43c10,183$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.5121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed T178c10,010$7,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed T156c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5719448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed DK25c8,815$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.6623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed DK32c8,444$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.0428248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x095a…2400backed T175c6,949$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked DK21c5,820$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed DK18c5,533$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.364639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed T177c5,131$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.042075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed DK24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed T177c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed T178c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.99966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T177c4,683$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…d7bdbacked DK17c4,428$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked DK23c4,335$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.051,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed DK11c4,219$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed T171c4,000$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.281225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed DK10c3,977$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed T178c3,872$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed DK6c3,763$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DK29c3,666$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.581,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed T179c3,607$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.421181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked T178c3,549$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.812568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked T170c3,326$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed T162c2,674$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed DK23c2,201$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked T170c2,198$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…9377backed T152c2,192$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked DK23c2,100$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…366bbacked DK25c2,014$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T179c2,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked T164c1,907$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked T176c1,843$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3215452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed DK23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked T156c1,721$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.2820855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed T178c1,667$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked DK59c1,507$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.841,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed DK24c1,441$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9385446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…45dabacked DK8c1,426$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked T155c1,399$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked T157c1,389$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6113050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked DK23c1,354$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.818956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb960…b8a1backed T157c1,347$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T176c1,310$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.48354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked T177c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed DK46c1,222$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.1918650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed T171c1,220$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T167c1,200$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39524139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed DK58c1,194$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed T168c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed DK25c1,100$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe207…2183backed DK41c1,079$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed DK1c1,043$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…35e4backed DK10c1,006$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.761283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed DK19c1,002$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.432425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked T155c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed DK24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed T177c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c69…c149backed T157c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e46…16a5backed DK25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed DK26c1,000$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2252…aa77backed DK2c971.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed DK55c970$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa682…97b9backed DK23c961.41$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked DK23c960$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.954438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed DK44c956$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.641936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed T150c941.61$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.5618624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked DK40c900$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa046…db60backed DK34c899.56$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ad…d561backed DK25c865.72$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed DK31c660$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.71735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed DK30c647.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3727345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked T176c646.6$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.183458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed DK25c630$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4f…c690backed DK24c622.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked DK47c619.95$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed DK10c605.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.292142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed T156c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2645530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed T176c600$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14223351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…7733backed DK35c581$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aab…9d46backed DK23c579.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed T156c562$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2812131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked T175c540$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed T157c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.324100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+141.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed T157c511$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7310538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed DK2c504.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed T179c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed T177c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked T177c487.73$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.343542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed DK23c486.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11217538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed T178c461.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5426563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5827…e59ebacked DK22c449.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.